Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
