Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
28.18% ( -0.03) | 26.88% | 44.94% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.75% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( -0.02) | 55.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.95% ( -0.01) | 77.05% ( 0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% ( -0.03) | 35.18% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.06% ( -0.03) | 71.93% ( 0.04) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( 0.01) | 24.8% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% ( 0.01) | 59.37% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.18% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |