Coppa Italia | Final
Jan 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma3 - 1Lecce
FT(HT: 1-1)
Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')
We said: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Whilst Roma's recent record in the competition leaves a lot to be desired, as does their form in all competitions of late, we are backing them to scrape past a Lecce side who will be well up for the game and will certainly make them work hard to progress. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Lecce |
| 43.96% | 25.35% | 30.69% |
| Both teams to score 54.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
