Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Fiorentina |
33.88% | 24.24% | 41.87% |
Both teams to score 59.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.42% | 42.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% | 64.98% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% | 24.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.94% | 59.06% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% | 20.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% | 52.98% |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.88% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.87% Total : 41.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |