Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 7.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
78.66% | 13.41% | 7.93% |
Both teams to score 50.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.83% | 31.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.4% | 52.6% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.71% | 6.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.32% | 23.68% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.31% | 45.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.52% | 81.48% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 10.99% 3-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 7.95% 1-0 @ 7.95% 4-0 @ 7.02% 4-1 @ 5.5% 5-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.11% 5-1 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 2.15% 6-0 @ 1.79% 6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.91% Total : 78.65% | 1-1 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 3.37% 0-0 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.93% Total : 13.41% | 1-2 @ 2.44% 0-1 @ 2.25% Other @ 3.24% Total : 7.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |