Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
33.39% | 26.39% | 40.23% |
Both teams to score 52.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.83% | 52.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.12% | 73.88% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% | 29.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% | 65.52% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% | 25.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% | 60.35% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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