Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
18.3% | 20.76% | 60.94% |
Both teams to score 56.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.65% | 40.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.28% | 62.72% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% | 35.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% | 72.34% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% | 12.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% | 39.11% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5% 1-0 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.14% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-3 @ 6.59% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 3.5% 0-4 @ 3.39% 2-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |