Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
40.26% ( -1.66) | 26.88% ( 0.16) | 32.86% ( 1.51) |
Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.73% ( -0.21) | 54.27% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( -0.18) | 75.66% ( 0.18) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( -0.98) | 26.45% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% ( -1.32) | 61.62% ( 1.32) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 0.93) | 30.9% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.81% ( 1.07) | 67.19% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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