Having scored just three times in their last seven matches, it is clear where the fault for Cagliari's decline lies, and a misfiring front line could cost them again versus carefree Verona.
The visitors are playing merely for pride and places in the standings, and a relatively relaxed approach may make their fluent forward department all the more potent.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
