The last Serie A draw between Hellas Verona and Napoli at the Bentegodi was back in 1988, but that may well be the result this time around, as the hosts tend to excel on home soil and their visitors are resilient on the road.
It could be an entertaining encounter, too, with Napoli forced to push for a win and their opponents well capable of striking on the counter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
