Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
53.61% ( 0.64) | 23.1% ( -0.23) | 23.29% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.77% ( 0.57) | 44.23% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.39% ( 0.55) | 66.61% ( -0.55) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( 0.43) | 16.45% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.86% ( 0.78) | 46.14% ( -0.78) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% ( -0.05) | 32.92% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.49% ( -0.06) | 69.5% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |