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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Shabab Al Ahli Stadium

Al Shabab
1 - 0
Al Ittihad

Carlos (14')
Cuellar (45+2'), Banega (61'), Al-Monassar (73'), Al-Muwallad (83'), Saiss (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 2-1 Al Shabab
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-2 Al Hazem
Thursday, October 26 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 1-2 Al Ittihad

The hosts will be in high spirits after their late win over the weekend, but they face a significant step up in class here and will likely be the happier of the sides if this one ends level. However, the visitors will know that they cannot afford to drop any more points this season and are likely to go all out to secure the victory. Matches between these sides tend to be fairly close, and we are expecting the same in this one, but we are backing Al Ittihad to clinch the win by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
30.5% (0.49 0.49) 26.27% (0.32 0.32) 43.23% (-0.808 -0.81)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.755 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (-1.089 -1.09)52.54% (1.089 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (-0.941 -0.94)74.2% (0.94199999999999 0.94)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (-0.209 -0.21)31.65% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (-0.242 -0.24)68.06% (0.242 0.24)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-0.869 -0.87)24.13% (0.871 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-1.25 -1.25)58.44% (1.251 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 30.5%
    Al Ittihad 43.22%
    Draw 26.26%
Al ShababDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.324 0.32)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.5%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.324 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al Ittihad

Al Shabab
5.3%
Draw
10.5%
Al Ittihad
84.2%
19
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal31292095207589
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad31155115648850
6Al Ettifaq31111194132944
7Al Fateh31119115248442
8Al Fayha31119114249-742
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac31109124139239
11Al Khaleej3199133342-936
12Al WahdaAl Wahda31105164356-1335
13Al RaedAl Raed3188153948-932
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Abha3185183479-4529
16Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
17Al Tai3177173058-2828
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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