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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Earthquakes
2 - 0
Los Angeles

Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')

Preview: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

One of the oldest rivalries in American soccer will take place on Saturday at PayPal Park as the San Jose Earthquakes host Los Angeles FC.

The Quakes won the first game in the California Clasico this season, 2-1 back in August, but LA are ahead of them in the Western Conference standings by three points heading into this match.


Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes head coach Matias Almeyda during the second half against the Minnesota United at PayPal Park on August 17, 2021© Reuters

Less than three days after squandering a two-goal lead and coming away empty-handed in a 4-3 loss to Real Salt Lake, Matias Almeyda saw his side overcome three deficits versus Austin FC, coming out on the right side of a 4-3 result.

Last week, the Goonies reverted to their old habits, which cost them so many games early on this year, making many collective mistakes and missing out on a valuable three points against Claret and Cobalt.

Even though they are showing some tremendous upside offensively with seven goals in their last two games, the Quakes have been exposed on the counter, allowing far too many scoring chances, conceding 23 shots on target in their previous two matches.

You would think that playing more games down the stretch in front of your fans would be ideal, but for San Jose, earning three points at PayPal Park has been a struggle, going winless in their last four games there, and being shut out on two of those occasions.

It will be interesting to see how they approach their final nine matches of the regular season because the Earthquakes are by no means out of the playoff race, sitting four points back of Minnesota United, but Almeyda has brought in several academy products and also emphasised the importance of forming an identity and going through a slow process.

The Argentine coach certainly makes a lot of sense when it comes to building a culture with this club, but you should also be pushing to make the postseason and if they want to do that, they need to speed up the process and start winning more often.

After being blown out numerous times against the Black-and-Gold in their first few encounters, things are starting to even out a little, with the Quakes coming out on top in their previous three fixtures against their California rivals.

Los Angeles FC manager Bob Bradley on May 9, 2021 © Reuters

We have said this several times throughout the year, but it bears repeating yet again, as LAFC missed another opportunity to climb into a playoff position last Sunday, dropping a 2-1 decision to the Portland Timbers.

It was their fifth loss in their last six games, and at this stage of the season, Bob Bradley has to wonder how to get his side to maintain the high level of energy needed in these games that matter.

His team have gotten themselves back into the playoff conversation, with three consecutive wins before their defeat last weekend, but it is in these matches when a victory can put them over the playoff line where they struggle, and thus they are forced to play catch-up in the weeks following.

This year, they have yet to beat any of their California rivals, losing once to the Goonies and the Los Angeles Galaxy while also squandering a 3-2 lead to LA late last month in a 3-3 draw.

This season has been such an up-and-down one for LAFC that it might be best to simplify things by just winning and getting into a top-seven position by any means necessary and then figure things out from there.

They have some key absences and no doubt that can impact your rhythm and chemistry, but even so, LA should not be in the predicament that they currently find themselves in.

Sitting only one point back of a playoff spot, there is certainly no need to panic and overthink their strategies but instead focus on one game at a time, as they do not need to win all nine fixtures remaining, but they need a little more consistency.

San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

San Jose Earthquakes team before the game on June 23, 2021© Reuters

Quakes striker Jeremy Ebobisse has a concussion, while Shea Salinas and Siad Haji are questionable with undisclosed injuries, and Tommy Thompson started on defence versus the Verde-and-Black, his first appearance since June 22.

Defender Marcos Lopez notched his first goal of the season last weekend and only the third of his MLS career, Javier Lopez scored the equaliser and the winner against Austin, his team-leading ninth and 10th of the campaign, while Carlos Fierro picked up his first assist of the season.

Quakes striker Chris Wondolowski has three goals in the California Clasico, Judson is third in the league in tackles won with 43, just one behind Yuya Kubo of FC Cincinnati and four back of the Timbers Claudio Bravo.

Jose Cifuentes will be looking for a bit of redemption after he made a critical mistake last week on the winning goal for Portland scored by George Fochive, while Cristian Arango moved into a tie for the team lead in goals with his sixth, the same as Diego Rossi who is currently on loan with Fenerbahce.

Kwadwo Opoku and Erik Duenas have left knee issues, Eddie Segura is having problems with his right knee, Pablo Sisniega is out with a nose injury, Eduard Atuesta has a right ankle issue, Carlos Vela is nursing a right quad injury, Julian Gaines has a pelvic stress fracture, Alvaro Quezada is out with a chest injury and Tristan Blackmon remains on the sidelines with a left adductor strain.

Last week the Black-and-Gold signed former Chelsea keeper Jamal Blackman, who has spent several seasons on loan with a number of English clubs, in addition to a stint with Vitesse in the Dutch Eredivisie.

San Jose Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Marcinkowski; M. Lopez, Beason, Judson, Marie; Yueill, Remedi, Skahan; Cowell, J. Lopez, Espinoza

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Romero; Kim, Murillo, Ibeagha, Palacios; Edwards, Crisostomo, Duke, Cifuentes; Rodriguez, Arango


SM words green background

We say: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Los Angeles FC

Even though the Quakes have been poor defensively of late, they can probably afford to play more wide open against their state rivals, who seem to squander a lot of great scoring opportunities and are still without some of their top attacking options.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Los Angeles

San Jose Earthquakes
41.7%
Draw
8.3%
Los Angeles FC
50.0%
12
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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