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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Porto

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Porto


Janvier (17'), Silva (57'), Luz (71'), Safira (87'), Amaro (90'), Nogueira (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mario (45+2')
Otavio (35'), Pepe (41'), Wendell (47'), Marcano (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Porto

After accumulating 11 victories in 16 Primeira Liga matches this season, we can envision Porto culminating an end-to-end 90 minutes with a 12th success under their footballing belt come Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
14.09% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09) 20.82% (-0.102 -0.1) 65.09% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.52% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.227 0.23)48.41% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.207 0.21)70.55% (-0.206 -0.21)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)81.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.9% (0.134 0.13)14.1% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.28% (0.26 0.26)41.72% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.09%
    Porto 65.09%
    Draw 20.82%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.09%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 12.66% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 8.1% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.97% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.09% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.55% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.09%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Porto

Vitoria de Guimaraes
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Porto
81.8%
33
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
2-1
Guimaraes
Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
Dec 29, 2020 9pm
Guimaraes
2-3
Porto
Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')
Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Guimaraes
1-2
Porto
Duarte (49')
Jesus (10' og.), Marega (60')
Luis (44'), Marega (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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