Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
40.2% | 29.33% | 30.46% |
Both teams to score 43.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.15% | 82.85% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.04% | 30.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.74% | 67.26% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% | 37.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% | 74.29% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.83% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.73% Total : 30.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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