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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Estrela Amadora
Portimonense
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora
Dener (38')
Mauricio (16'), Pedrao (66'), Dener (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira Martins (14')
Genezio (10'), Vieira (11'), Tavares (24'), Ndour (73'), Omorwa (77'), Pereira Martins (80'), Kikas (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense
Saturday, August 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Estoril
Friday, August 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 2-1 Estrela Amadora

Estrela scraped a narrow home win against Estoril Praia last time out and are in for another tough 90 minutes against an experienced Portimonense side. Sergio's men have won each of the last two meetings between the sides and we are backing them to see off the Tricolores, who are without a win in their last four away matches across all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
PortimonenseDrawEstrela Amadora
50.07% (-0.406 -0.41) 24.81% (0.122 0.12) 25.11% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-0.27 -0.27)49.85% (0.269 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-0.242 -0.24)71.85% (0.242 0.24)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)19.92% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.93% (-0.442 -0.44)52.06% (0.44 0.44)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.093999999999994 0.09)34.41% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (0.102 0.1)71.12% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 50.07%
    Estrela Amadora 25.11%
    Draw 24.8%
PortimonenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.07%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.11%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Estrela Amadora

Portimonense
56.8%
Draw
29.5%
Estrela Amadora
13.6%
44
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
First Round
Portimonense
3-1
Estrela Amadora
Amorim (6' pen.), Carrillo (62'), Carlinhos (82' pen.)
Carlinhos (33'), Seck (73'), Silvestre da Costa (74'), Mauricio (90+4')
Tavares (58')
Mansur (1'), Lopes (5'), Carlos Silva Reis (81')
rhs 2.0
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Sinner
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica97111981122
2Sporting Lisbon87101771022
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes96121710719
4Porto8611116519
5Braga95222317617
6BoavistaBoavista84311813515
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231210214
8FamalicaoFamalicao833288012
9PortimonensePortimonense93241018-811
10Gil Vicente93152118310
11Casa Pia924388010
12Estrela Amadora8224812-48
13SC FarenseFarense8215111107
14ChavesChaves92161226-147
15Vizela81341014-46
16AroucaArouca9135914-56
17Rio AveRio Ave8125614-85
18Estoril PraiaEstoril91171420-64

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