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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Frosinone logo

Cagliari
4 - 3
Frosinone

Oristanio (72'), Makoumbou (76'), Pavoletti (90+4', 90+6')
Prati (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Soule (23', 37'), Brescianini (49')
Romagnoli (25'), Bourabia (85'), Okoli (87'), Marchizza (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone

Cagliari's woes could continue into November, as the Sardinian side are set for a seventh Serie A defeat of the season; they have a sieve-like defence and can be caught out by Frosinone's bright attacking talents more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFrosinone
37.18% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 35.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.153 0.15)55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.126 0.13)76.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.10300000000001 0.1)28.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.126 0.13)64.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.072000000000003 0.07)29.65% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.087999999999994 0.09)65.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 37.17%
    Frosinone 35.59%
    Draw 27.23%
CagliariDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Frosinone

Cagliari
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Frosinone
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Nov 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
2-2
Cagliari
Rohden (32'), Insigne (67')
Luvumbo (14'), Lapadula (90+7' pen.)
Apr 20, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
1-0
Frosinone
Pedro (27' pen.)
Farago (57'), Pedro (82')
Farago (79')

Ciano (90')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
1-1
Cagliari
Cassata (14')
Cassata (32')
Farias (77')
Ceppitelli (34'), Bradaric (37'), Srna (40'), Barella (54'), Pavoletti (60'), Farias (90')
Barella (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Roma35179962422060
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio35175134537856
8Fiorentina341481251391250
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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