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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
1 - 3
AC Milan

Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-3 AC Milan

Given that Cagliari have scored just one goal across five games without tasting victory this season, we expect AC Milan to cruise to a comfortable victory at the Unipol Domus on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
36.24%27.31%36.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)29.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.24%
    AC Milan 36.44%
    Draw 27.31%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.44%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
5.5%
Draw
9.9%
AC Milan
84.6%
91
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
0-0
Cagliari
Kjaer (33'), Calabria (58')
Marin (40'), Carboni (45+1')
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan

Godin (83'), Ceppitelli (88')
Ibrahimovic (7' pen., 52')
Romagnoli (39'), Saelemaekers (68')
Saelemaekers (74')
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-0
Cagliari
Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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