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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Tondela

Nacional
2 - 0
Tondela

Micael (1'), Riascos (68')
Borges (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bebeto (18'), Agra (30'), Martinez (81'), Khacef (83')
Bebeto (27'), Khacef (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawTondela
46.21%26.52%27.28%
Both teams to score 49.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.94%55.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68%76.32%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.96%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 46.2%
    Tondela 27.28%
    Draw 26.51%
NacionalDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.28%

How you voted: Nacional vs Tondela

Nacional
50.0%
Draw
40.9%
Tondela
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Nacional
3-2
Tondela
Riascos (36'), Tissone (62'), Goncalves (83')
Guimaraes (21'), Kalindi (89')
Tomane (22' pen.), Moufi (66')
Monteiro (35'), Jaquite (61'), Pedro (79'), Pite (90')
Oct 5, 2018 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Tondela
1-1
Nacional
Bruno (62')
Tavares (89')
Kalindi (65')
Tissone (56'), Jota (90')
Apr 22, 2017 4pm
Tondela
2-0
Nacional
Jailson (63' pen.), Osorio (76')
Pedro (73')

Cesar (71'), Figueiredo (81')
Dec 11, 2016 4pm
Nacional
3-2
Tondela
Kaka (62' og., 89' og.), Cesar (65')
Garcia (54'), Ghazal (79')
Borges (23'), Cardoso (30')
Ferreira (50'), Cardoso (58'), Tambe (79')
Jan 31, 2016 4pm
Nacional
3-1
Tondela
Pinho (5'), Agra (37', 67')
Correia (14'), Ghazal (33'), Aurelio (80')
Murillo (86')
Souza (17'), Moreno (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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