Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
46.37% ( -0.19) | 27.52% ( -0) | 26.1% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 45.56% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.67% ( 0.13) | 59.33% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.27% ( 0.1) | 79.72% ( -0.1) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.39% ( -0.03) | 25.61% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.51% ( -0.05) | 60.49% ( 0.05) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% ( 0.24) | 38.75% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% ( 0.23) | 75.49% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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