Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boavista in this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
38.61% ( -0.52) | 27.22% ( -0.07) | 34.17% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.59% ( 0.33) | 55.41% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.39% ( 0.27) | 76.6% ( -0.27) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.14) | 27.91% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% ( -0.18) | 63.52% ( 0.17) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( 0.54) | 30.61% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% ( 0.64) | 66.85% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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