MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 09:58:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Arouca

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Arouca


Baro (65'), Fernandes (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-6 Braga
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Arouca

Casa Pia have enjoyed a fine start to their top-flight campaign and this has been owing to the solid job done at the defensive end of the pitch. Arouca, meanwhile, will be looking to regroup and get their season back on track following their disappointing loss against Braga. We predict a cagey affair at the National Sports Center of Jamor, with both sides settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawArouca
41.66% (1.624 1.62) 28.48% (0.359 0.36) 29.86% (-1.988 -1.99)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-1.699 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07% (-1.783 -1.78)60.93% (1.779 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-1.356 -1.36)80.94% (1.354 1.35)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.051000000000002 0.05)28.83% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)64.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (-2.435 -2.44)36.55% (2.433 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-2.535 -2.54)73.34% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 41.65%
    Arouca 29.85%
    Draw 28.47%
Casa PiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.552 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.675 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.438 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Arouca
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823


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