Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Chaves | 4 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Casa Pia | 4 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 0 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
11 | Arouca | 4 | -8 | 6 |
12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
41.66% ( 1.62) | 28.48% ( 0.36) | 29.86% ( -1.99) |
Both teams to score 45.15% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.07% ( -1.78) | 60.93% ( 1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.06% ( -1.36) | 80.94% ( 1.35) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( 0.05) | 28.83% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( 0.07) | 64.69% ( -0.07) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.45% ( -2.44) | 36.55% ( 2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.66% ( -2.54) | 73.34% ( 2.53) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.6% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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