Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Belenenses |
45.96% ( -0.77) | 26.73% ( 0.18) | 27.31% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.15% ( -0.33) | 55.85% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.03% ( -0.27) | 76.97% ( 0.27) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( -0.51) | 24.26% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% ( -0.73) | 58.62% ( 0.73) |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.18% ( 0.31) | 35.82% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.4% ( 0.31) | 72.6% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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