Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Chaves | 7 | -2 | 8 |
12 | Arouca | 6 | -9 | 7 |
13 | Rio Ave | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 3 | 10 |
9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 7 | -1 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 35.39%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
35.39% ( -0.03) | 29.9% ( 0.06) | 34.71% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 42.41% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.22% ( -0.19) | 64.77% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.27% ( -0.13) | 83.73% ( 0.13) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( -0.12) | 34.64% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( -0.13) | 71.37% ( 0.13) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.9% ( -0.12) | 35.1% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.15% ( -0.12) | 71.85% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.89% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 34.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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