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Preston North End logo
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Bournemouth logo

Preston
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Archer (54'), Riis Jakobsen (89')
Potts (24'), van den Berg (58'), Johnson (82'), Browne (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lowe (50')
Billing (90+8')
Smith (90+1')

Preview: Preston North End vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth will be targeting a fifth successive win when they travel to Preston North End in the Championship on Saturday afternoon.

The Cherries are second in the table and edging ever closer to a Premier League return, while the Lilywhites are still harbouring playoff hopes in 12th.


Match preview

Bournemouth's manager Scott Parker on February 12, 2022© Reuters

Bournemouth are on their best run of form since the end of October and Jamal Lowe scored an 89th-minute winner as they came from behind to win 2-1 against Stoke City last weekend.

The Cherries are two points ahead of third-placed Huddersfield Town but have played four matches fewer, while they are nine points behind leaders Fulham but with two games in hand.

Scott Parker's side have lost just three times away from home this season and have the best defence in the Championship having conceded only 27 goals in 31 matches.

That said, they have been slightly more leaky of late as they have kept just three clean sheets in their last 14 matches.

With three successive home fixtures against strugglers Peterborough United, Derby County and Reading to come after their visit to Deepdale, Bournemouth will be intent on making their spot in the top two secure over the next few weeks.

Preston North End's Ched Evans celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on November 23, 2021© Reuters

However, Preston are unbeaten in their last four matches against the Cherries and inflicted their first league defeat of this season when they won 2-1 at the Vitality Stadium in November.

Ryan Lowe has replaced Frankie McAvoy in the dugout since then and the Lilywhites have lost only two of 14 league matches under the former Plymouth Argyle boss.

That does not tell the full story though as Preston have picked up just one win from their last five games and are winless in six at Deepdale.

This is all because they are the Championship's draw specialists; a case in point being how they conceded a 98th-minute equaliser against Coventry City last weekend to draw 1-1 with the Sky Blues.

If Lowe can start turning one point into three in games, then the Lilywhites may have a shot at the playoffs – they are currently seven points behind the top six.

Preston North End Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Bournemouth form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Preston North End manager Ryan Lowe applauds fans after the match on February 1, 2022© Reuters

Liam Lindsay is suspended for Preston after his red card against Coventry last weekend, while fellow centre-back Patrick Bauer remains sidelined with a hip issue.

It means that an opportunity could be presented to Paul Huntington or Bambo Diaby, who have played just eight minutes of league football between them this season.

Sean Maguire and Josh Murphy are in contention to feature after injury, but Tom Barkhuizen and Greg Cunningham are still out.

Nat Phillips will be available again for Bournemouth after missing the win over Stoke through illness and should slot straight back into the defence.

Jaidon Anthony and Ryan Christie have been back in training this week after recent injuries and will be assessed ahead of the game to see if they can feature.

Dominic Solanke scored his 20th league goal of the season last weekend but has only netted once in his previous five away matches.

Preston North End possible starting lineup:
Iversen; Hughes, Diaby, van den Berg; Potts, Browne, Whiteman, Earl; Johnson; Archer, Riis

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Smith, Phillips, Kelly, Zemura; Billing, Cook, Cantwell; Lowe, Solanke, Dembele


SM words green background

We say: Preston North End 0-1 Bournemouth

Bournemouth seem to have hit their stride again following a tricky patch and we think that they will pick up another three points in this game. It should be a close encounter though, with Preston proving defensively stubborn under Lowe.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Preston vs Bournemouth

Preston North End
20.7%
Draw
15.5%
Bournemouth
63.8%
58
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Bournemouth's Jordan Zemura and Siriki Dembele celebrate after the match on February 12, 2022
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