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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Brighton

Bamford (40'), Harrison (78')
Firpo (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mac Allister (33'), March (61')
Caicedo (83')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United twice come from behind to draw 2-2 with Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.8% (0.417 0.42) 22.98% (0.173 0.17) 51.21% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 59.26% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)41.26% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.419 -0.42)63.66% (0.418 0.42)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.101 0.1)29.26% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.125 0.13)65.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)16.22% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.65199999999999 -0.65)45.73% (0.651 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.8%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.22%
    Draw 22.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.22%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
17.2%
Draw
11.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
71.3%
157
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Brighton
1-0
Leeds
Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Leeds
1-1
Brighton
Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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