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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Leeds logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Leeds

Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United

Both sides head into this meeting in excellent form and it is very difficult to predict an outcome as a result. These teams drew 0-0 at the Amex Stadium last season and we can envisage a share of the spoils once again, albeit with a couple of goals for both sets of fans to enjoy this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
51.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)51.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)73.58% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7%20.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33%52.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)36.56% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)73.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.06%
    Leeds United 23.89%
    Draw 25.04%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.06%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.89%

How you voted: Brighton vs Leeds

Brighton & Hove Albion
39.5%
Draw
31.3%
Leeds United
29.2%
195
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Leeds
1-1
Brighton
Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Mar 18, 2017 5.30pm
Leeds
2-0
Brighton
Wood (63', 85' pen.)

Rosenior (37'), Murray (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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