MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 04:48:07| >> :120:46599:46599:
Stoke logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brighton logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Brighton


Laurent (21'), Baker (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferguson (30')
Undav (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Fulham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton have become a very entertaining outfit under De Zerbi's stewardship, and we expect the Seagulls to have too much attacking fluency for their Championship opponents on Tuesday. Indeed, the visitors had the weekend off due to their match against Newcastle United being rescheduled, so they should be far fresher than Stoke on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
27.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 48.97% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.52% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)29.99% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)66.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65%49.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 27.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 48.97%
    Draw 23.93%
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.97%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brighton

Stoke City
20.5%
Draw
9.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
69.7%
132
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 20, 2017 8pm
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Brighton
1-5
Stoke
Loft (84')
Henderson (7')
Sidibe (40'), Rooney (6', 22', 63')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Brighton
Russell (68')
Russell (31'), Brammer (82'), Duberry (87')

McShane (39')
Mar 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Brighton
Noel-Williams (39' pen., 44' pen.)
Clarke (52')

Nicolas (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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