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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

Wood (44')
Brownhill (5'), Bardsley (85'), Pieters (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bissouma (20'), Connolly (50')

The Match

Match Report

Connolly's strike five minutes after the break settled it.

Team News

Charlie Taylor, Matt Lowton, Jack Cork, Ashley Barnes and Ben Mee are all sidelined.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
34.66%26.45%38.89%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.95%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.38%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 34.66%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 38.89%
    Draw 26.45%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.89%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
1-3
Burnley
Duffy (76')
Ryan (72')
Wood (26', 61'), Barnes (74' pen.)
Westwood (76')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Burnley
1-0
Brighton
Tarkowski (40')
Tarkowski (86'), Bardsley (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Brighton
0-0
Burnley
March (68'), Stephens (77'), Dunk (87'), Duffy (93')
Taylor (48'), Barnes (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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