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Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (45+2')

Preview: Newcastle United vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Newcastle United play host to Crystal Palace on Wednesday night knowing that victory will end any lingering fears over a surprise relegation from the Premier League.

However, the Magpies may instead be looking towards the top 10 of the standings, particularly with 13th-placed Palace only sitting above them on goal difference.


Match preview

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe applauds fans after the match on February 26, 2022© Reuters

If Newcastle want to become an elite club over the next few years, a solution will need to be found for their away form, the Magpies currently on a run of three successive defeats on their travels.

However, Eddie Howe's team have become a juggernaut at St James' Park, their dramatic 2-1 victory over Leicester City on Sunday afternoon their fifth win in a row on familiar territory.

Now 12 points clear of the relegation zone, Newcastle are realistically already safe, but Howe nor the club's supporters will take that as an excuse for any below-par performances over their remaining six matches.

As expected, Bruno Guimaraes has been a difference maker since his January arrival, most notably in the centre of the pitch, but he chipped in with both goals against the Foxes on Sunday.

Although Newcastle have not always looked like a free-scoring team, they have learned how to earn points with regularity, and that is perhaps the most pleasing improvement since Howe replaced Steve Bruce.

Crystal Palace manager Patrick Vieira reacts on February 23, 2022© Reuters

Whatever happens during the run-in, Palace will take countless positives from the team that they have become under Patrick Vieira, but they cannot afford to drop their level now that they have less to fight for.

Since taking four points off Manchester City and Arsenal, the Eagles have gone down by a 2-1 scoreline against Leicester and bowed out of the FA Cup to Chelsea at the semi-final stage.

Despite holding their own for the first hour of the contest, Palace did not take their chances and ultimately paid the price during the closing 25 minutes, going down 2-0 at Wembley Stadium.

On paper, the London outfit have a favourable run-in with their most difficult-looking fixture theoretically being at home to Manchester United on the final day of the campaign.

However, to become a top-10 side, Palace need to be taking points from fixtures such as the one at St James' Park and the five that follow against teams all in the bottom half of the standings.

Newcastle United Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Crystal Palace Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Crystal Palace form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Crystal Palace's Conor Gallagher applauds fans after the match on March 1, 2022© Reuters

Palace will be able to call upon Conor Gallagher after the Chelsea loanee was ineligible to face his parent club on Sunday.

Jordan Ayew may be restored on the right flank with Palace reverting back to a 4-3-3 formation, with Nathaniel Clyne potentially coming in at right-back.

Odsonne Edouard could bring further fresh legs to the attack, while first-choice goalkeeper Vicente Guaita will be recalled in place of Jack Butland.

Unless any injuries were picked up during the Leicester match, Newcastle will almost certainly line up the same for this contest.

Nevertheless, Joe Willock and Jacob Murphy, who were introduced as substitutes on Sunday, would add energy to the team.

Should Ryan Fraser be deemed fit enough to return after injury, the winger will only be named on the substitutes' bench.

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Krafth, Schar, Burn, Targett; Guimaraes, Shelvey, Joelinton; Almiron, Wood, Saint-Maximin

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Clyne, Andersen, Guehi, Mitchell; Gallagher, Kouyate, Schlupp; Ayew, Mateta, Zaha


SM words green background

We say: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace

After their FA Cup disappointment, Palace will be especially eager to end what has been an encouraging season on a high. However, Newcastle are a different beast at St James' Park, and we are expecting the Magpies to outlast the Eagles with victory by the odd goal in three.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.


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Game History

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
67.3%
Draw
16.4%
Crystal Palace
16.4%
226
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