Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
24.77% ( -2.21) | 23.34% ( -0.65) | 51.88% ( 2.85) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% ( 1.02) | 43.82% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.78% ( 0.99) | 66.21% ( -0.99) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% ( -1.2) | 31.44% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% ( -1.41) | 67.82% ( 1.41) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.07% ( 1.47) | 16.92% ( -1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.01% ( 2.54) | 46.99% ( -2.55) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.77% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.47) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.28) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.3) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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