Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
57.43% ( 0.27) | 24.04% ( -0.11) | 18.53% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% ( 0.21) | 53.78% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% ( 0.18) | 75.26% ( -0.17) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( 0.18) | 18.56% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( 0.3) | 49.82% ( -0.3) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.79% ( -0.06) | 43.21% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.53% ( -0.05) | 79.46% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
> National League Full Table |