Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.19% ( -0.57) | 25.94% ( 0.45) | 27.87% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.5% ( -1.71) | 52.5% ( 1.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.83% ( -1.49) | 74.17% ( 1.5) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -0.97) | 22.7% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% ( -1.47) | 56.36% ( 1.48) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% ( -0.8) | 33.59% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% ( -0.89) | 70.24% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.19% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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