Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
25.72% ( -5.24) | 23.02% ( -1.05) | 51.26% ( 6.29) |
Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.47% ( 1.32) | 41.52% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.07% ( 1.33) | 63.92% ( -1.32) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( -2.99) | 29.47% ( 2.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( -3.81) | 65.47% ( 3.81) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 2.95) | 16.3% ( -2.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.12% ( 5.09) | 45.88% ( -5.09) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.91) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.9) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.53) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.79) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.57) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.6) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.24) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.27) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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