Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
80.78% ( 0.31) | 12.1% ( -0.22) | 7.11% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.57% ( 0.81) | 27.43% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.97% ( 1.01) | 48.03% ( -1.02) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.83% ( 0.21) | 5.16% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.53% ( 0.62) | 20.47% ( -0.62) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.22% ( 0.41) | 44.78% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( 0.33) | 80.75% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) 7-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.28% Total : 80.78% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.1% | 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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