Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham |
79.93% ( -0.7) | 11.96% ( 0.37) | 8.11% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 59.29% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.78% ( -0.79) | 22.22% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.8% ( -1.09) | 41.2% ( 1.09) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.69% ( -0.25) | 4.31% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.14% ( -0.78) | 17.86% ( 0.78) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.96% ( 0.02) | 38.04% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% ( 0.02) | 74.81% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham |
3-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) 6-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) 7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.4% Total : 79.93% | 1-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 11.96% | 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 8.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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