Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
61.75% ( 0.03) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 17.16% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% ( 0.01) | 43.78% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% ( 0) | 66.17% ( -0) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.35% ( 0.01) | 13.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.18% ( 0.02) | 40.82% ( -0.02) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.07% ( -0.02) | 38.92% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% ( -0.02) | 75.65% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |