Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stubhub Center
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
Result |
Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
64.88% ( 0.01) | 19.56% ( -0) | 15.57% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.02) |