Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 81.02%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Saint Louis City |
81.02% ( 0.03) | 11.74% ( -0.02) | 7.24% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.3% ( 0.05) | 24.7% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.47% ( 0.07) | 44.52% ( -0.07) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.39% ( 0.01) | 4.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.2% ( 0.04) | 18.79% ( -0.05) |
Saint Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.81% ( 0) | 42.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.4% ( 0) | 78.6% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Saint Louis City |
3-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 5.27% Total : 81.02% | 1-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 11.74% | 1-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 7.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |