Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 26 | 61 |
2 | Austin FC | 30 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Dallas | 31 | 11 | 49 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
3 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 0 | 43 |
4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 3 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
56.36% ( -1.18) | 21.44% ( 0.05) | 22.2% ( 1.13) |
Both teams to score 60.33% ( 1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.1% ( 1.26) | 37.9% ( -1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.84% ( 1.34) | 60.16% ( -1.33) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.63% ( 0.06) | 13.37% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.73% ( 0.12) | 40.27% ( -0.12) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( 1.73) | 30.36% ( -1.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% ( 2.01) | 66.56% ( -2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.47) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.68% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |