Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
48.77% ( 1.13) | 24.8% ( -0.39) | 26.43% ( -0.75) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% ( 1.09) | 48.76% ( -1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% ( 0.98) | 70.87% ( -0.98) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.97% ( 0.92) | 20.03% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.76% ( 1.46) | 52.23% ( -1.46) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% ( -0.02) | 32.75% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% ( -0.02) | 69.3% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |