Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 50 |
4 | New York City FC | 31 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | -10 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CF Montreal | 31 | 11 | 56 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 5 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
53.35% ( -3.78) | 23.71% ( 1.08) | 22.94% ( 2.7) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( -1.44) | 47.25% ( 1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( -1.35) | 69.48% ( 1.35) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% ( -1.85) | 17.65% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.74% ( -3.31) | 48.26% ( 3.32) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( 1.8) | 34.9% ( -1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( 1.85) | 71.64% ( -1.85) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.61) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.72) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |