Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
48.46% ( 0.59) | 23.35% ( -0.2) | 28.19% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 60.1% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.9% ( 0.69) | 41.1% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.51% ( 0.7) | 63.49% ( -0.7) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( 0.48) | 17.17% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% ( 0.85) | 47.43% ( -0.85) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.56% ( 0.08) | 27.44% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.08% ( 0.11) | 62.92% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |