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Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Bouanga (24', 75'), Hollingshead (33'), Tillman (84')
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sharp (25'), Yoshida (59')
Cuevas (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

These encounters have traditionally been high-scoring affairs with five or more goals in three of the last four competitive meetings between the two, and given the defensive struggles of each, we might be in for another goal fest this weekend. LAFC have not played up to their potential in recent outings, but the Galaxy have consistently dug themselves a deficit, and it will be a lot harder to overcome that against one of the top defensive units in MLS this season.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
66.19% (1.042 1.04) 18.04% (-0.464 -0.46) 15.77% (-0.582 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.69% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68% (1.118 1.12)31.99% (-1.123 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.44% (1.295 1.3)53.56% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.97% (0.54299999999999 0.54)9.03% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.26% (1.294 1.29)30.74% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.040000000000006 0.04)33.28% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.044 0.04)69.9% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 15.77%
    Draw 18.04%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.61% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.16 0.16)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.102 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.22% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.124 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.078 0.08)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 7.95% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.04%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.77%

Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')
Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')
May 24, 2023
3.30am
Apr 16, 2023 9.30pm
Oct 21, 2022 3am
Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (23', 80'), Arango (90+3')
Grandsir (44'), Joveljic (85')
Jul 9, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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