Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
63.47% ( -0.74) | 19.21% ( 0.35) | 17.33% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.34% ( -0.96) | 34.66% ( 0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.39% ( -1.09) | 56.61% ( 1.09) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% ( -0.45) | 10.42% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.02% ( -1.05) | 33.97% ( 1.05) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( -0.16) | 33.2% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( -0.18) | 69.81% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.13% Total : 63.47% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 17.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |