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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
4 - 1
Orlando City

Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kara (71')
Carlos (59'), Urso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-0 Orlando City

The marquee players on Miami are finally coming to the forefront, namely Higuain, who is currently in the best form of his Major League Soccer career. Orlando are missing a quality attacker who can make that difference, and they appear to be damaged psychologically of late, which is a bad sign this late into the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
39.52% (-0.197 -0.2) 25.97% (0.093 0.09) 34.51% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.391 -0.39)50.23% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.347 -0.35)72.19% (0.348 0.35)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.285 -0.28)25% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.394 -0.39)59.65% (0.395 0.4)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.125 -0.13)27.85% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.161 -0.16)63.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 39.52%
    Orlando City 34.51%
    Draw 25.96%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.51%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Orlando City

Inter Miami
61.9%
Draw
14.3%
Orlando City
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Jun 26, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
Oct 24, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Orlando City
Jansson (45' og.), Gonzalez Pirez (89')
Gonzalez Pirez (7'), Pizarro (23'), Reyes (79'), Agudelo (90+4'), McCarthy (90+6')
Dike (12')
Urso (62'), Ruan (86'), Nani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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