Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Toronto | 27 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Chicago Fire | 26 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | -11 | 26 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF Montreal | 26 | 8 | 46 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
41.21% ( 0.1) | 26.86% ( 0.07) | 31.94% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.58% ( -0.33) | 54.42% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.21% ( -0.28) | 75.79% ( 0.28) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.1) | 26.01% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -0.13) | 61.04% ( 0.14) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -0.28) | 31.61% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( -0.33) | 68.01% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |