Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 53.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Metz |
53.43% | 24.62% | 21.94% |
Both teams to score 49.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48% | 52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.26% | 73.74% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% | 19.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.76% | 51.23% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.49% | 38.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% | 75.25% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.25% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.43% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |