Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Nice |
60.26% ( -0.11) | 21.33% ( 0.05) | 18.41% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.42% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.22% ( -0.12) | 42.77% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% ( -0.12) | 65.18% ( 0.12) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.22% ( -0.07) | 13.77% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.92% ( -0.15) | 41.08% ( 0.15) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.11% ( -0) | 36.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.33% ( -0) | 73.67% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 60.26% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |