Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Rennes |
26.47% ( -1.31) | 26.03% ( 0.18) | 47.5% ( 1.13) |
Both teams to score 50.04% ( -1.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.31% ( -1.51) | 53.69% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.82% ( -1.29) | 75.18% ( 1.29) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.65% ( -1.86) | 35.35% ( 1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% ( -1.98) | 72.11% ( 1.99) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% ( -0.12) | 22.6% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.78% ( -0.18) | 56.22% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |